Trillion-dollar coin, 14th Amendment: Dems, academics float radical options for Biden in debt ceiling standoff

Amid a looming showdown over raising the debt ceiling, Democrats in Congress and liberal lawyers, economists, and academics outside government are pushing ideas to address the debt limit without needing to hear Republicans’ concerns.

Many of these ideas are unconventional, proposing for the White House to circumvent Congress unilaterally. Some observers, for example, have called on the Treasury Department to mint a new $1 trillion platinum coin and deposit it at the Federal Reserve. The money would allow the federal government to fund more spending in order to finance its obligations.

Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) and Willamette University law professor Rohan Grey are among those who’ve backed such an idea, which has increasingly gained prominence in recent weeks. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellin recently dismissed the minted coin as a “gimmick” that the Federal Reserve may not even choose to accept.

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Other ideas being floated include invoking the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which says the federal government’s public debts must be repaid. “Section 4 of the 14th Amendment says the threat to default is itself unconstitutional,” Harvard law professor Laurence Tribe told the Washington Post, making a legal argument for Biden essentially ignoring the debt limit. 

Here are five other ideas being pushed by some experts and White House allies to bypass Congress:

“These aren’t technical problems, but problems with politics and perception: The people in the administration are uncomfortable violating norms of how things are done,” J.W. Mason, an economist at the City University of New York who supports some of these ideas, told the Washington Post. “The problem is that everything in this space is a gimmick. That’s the nature of the problem. It’s just a question of which gimmick you prefer.”

Fox News Digital reached out to the White House for comment on these proposals. A spokesperson pointed to recent comments by Biden administration officials dismissing such ideas.

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“We’re not considering any measures that would go around Congress,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters last month. “Congress must act. Both Republicans and Democrats in Congress have repeatedly raised the debt ceiling, including three times under the last president … and we believe they need to do that again.”

President Biden and administration officials have insisted Congress pass a “clean” increase of the debt ceiling without any other budget changes or concessions to Republicans, many of whom say they won’t back a debt limit hike unless it includes attached spending cuts or fiscal reforms.

Like the White House, Democrats in Congress also want a clean debt limit increase. To that end, some have reportedly been discussing a procedural tool to force a debt ceiling hike to the House floor by circumventing conservatives and House GOP leadership. The obscure process, known as a discharge petition, requires a majority of the House — 218 signatures, regardless of party — to move a bill from committee to the floor for a vote.

“A discharge petition would only take myself and four of my colleagues on the GOP side to sign with Democrats, if that’s necessary,” Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), co-chair of the bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus, told CNN.

While the effort is seen as unlikely to work or even be attempted, it’s another indication of lawmakers and like-minded academics seeking a way to raise the debt ceiling without engaging Republicans over their budgetary concerns.

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“Democrats want to get rid of the debt ceiling and give Uncle Sam an unlimited credit card,” said Stephen Moore, a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation and an economist with FreedomWorks. “That would be financially catastrophic.”

Some Democrats have openly expressed support for the discharge petition. When asked whether he’d endorse the idea,” Rep. Hank Johnson (D-Ga.) told the Hill, “If it’s a clean debt ceiling — in a heartbeat.”

However, economists who spoke to Fox News Digital expressed concern about the petition and other ideas being floated that don’t involve both parties coming together to address the debt ceiling and GOP budgetary concerns.

“The various workarounds on this issue being suggested by some Democrats all have problems and would be accompanied by prolonged market uncertainty,” said Desmond Lachman, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. “There would seem to be no realistic alternative but for the Democrats and Republicans to reach an early deal and spare the U.S. public from adding to the already many recession risks.”

Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of the American Action Forum, grouped these so-called workarounds into two categories: “one-time measures that raise some cash but merely delay the inevitable” or “ad hoc procedures for which there may be no legal basis or hope of operational feasibility.”

Because these ideas to circumvent Republicans or Congress altogether are unlikely, Democrats will need at least some Republican votes to raise the debt ceiling — meaning a compromise of one kind or another.

“There is no disagreement about the importance of honoring the debt obligations,” said Holtz-Eakin. “The only disagreement is over whether there should be a change in the outlook for spending and deficits, and I believe there should be no disagreement on that issue, either.”

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President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) met on Wednesday to discuss the debate ceiling issue. While no agreement was reached, McCarthy described the meeting as a “very good discussion” and said he sees an “opportunity here to come to an agreement.”

Still, McCarthy said Republicans oppose a clean debt limit hike without attached spending cuts to ensure a sounder fiscal position for the country moving forward. However, he noted cuts for social programs like Social Security and Medicare are off the table.

The country compiles deficits when government spending exceeds incoming revenues, which come mainly from taxes. The current debt is the accumulation of annual deficits over decades. Raising the debt limit (also known as the debt ceiling) doesn’t allow for new federal spending but instead allows the Treasury to borrow additional funds to cover expenditures already approved by Congress.

Late last year, lawmakers capped the borrowing limit at $31.4 million, which the federal government proceeded to reach last month. Yellen subsequently told congressional leaders that the Treasury can take “extraordinary measures” to pay the country’s bills on time until at least early June, by which time both parties hope to reach some sort of deal.

However, there’s debate over what exactly would happen in the event the debt ceiling isn’t raised by then. One risk is that the U.S. defaults on its debts, a scenario that would likely have huge financial reverberations worldwide.

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“A U.S. government debt default would be a major U.S. and world economic event that could shake world financial markets and heighten the risk of a deep recession,” said Lachman. “Such a default would imply that the world’s largest sovereign debtor could not be relied upon to meet its commitments. This is the last thing that we need at a time that both the U.S. and the world economy could be on the cusp of an economic recession.”

Lachman noted that a similar debt showdown in 2011 showed that even if the U.S. doesn’t ultimately default on its debt but reaches close to the deadline without an agreement, markets can be shaken by uncertainty and the country’s credit rating can be downgraded, adding to the government’s borrowing costs.

“For this reason, it is essential that Congress and the Biden administration put country ahead of narrow political interests to reach an early compromise on this issue,” he added.

However, other economists don’t see the situation nearly as dire for the country.

“The chances of a debt default are about 0.01% — it isn’t going to happen, even if they don’t raise the debt ceiling,” said Moore, who argued that if the government couldn’t borrow more to meet its obligations in full and on time, it would force Washington to operate on a balanced budget until the debt ceiling is raised.

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He described a scenario in which the government would create a priority list, paying the debt, social security, Medicare, and other programs but not financing, for example, certain clean energy programs while allowing, potentially, the Education Department to shut down for a few weeks.

“I’m not advocating for that — I want to see a compromise that raises the ceiling with the condition of spending cuts,” said Moore. “But let’s be clear: This isn’t Armageddon. The threat to the economy is when we raise debt ceiling without any plan to get out of debt — Democrats have the whole thing backward.”

A recent Rasmussen survey found that a majority of likely voters would rather have a partial government shutdown until Congress can agree to either cut spending or keep it the same rather than greenlight more spending with a clean debt ceiling increase.

Perhaps the key takeaway is that no one really knows what’ll happen.

“We don’t know how bad it would be,” said Shai Akabas, director of economic policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center. “But as the preeminent leader of the global economy, no one likes to see us in position so untested.”

Akabas explained it’s possible the issue would get resolved quickly without serious consequences.

“But there are so many risks and so much uncertainty,” he said. “We need our leaders to bring both sides to the table and find compromise that can address the nation’s fiscal challenges and meet our obligations. Those discussion should continue in earnest — the fewer talking points and more substantive discussions the better.”

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