On the Smarkets online betting exchange platform, Ron DeSantis‘ odds of winning the Republican presidential nomination are below 15% for the second time this month.
The Governor is at 14.71% likelihood, well below Donald Trump’s 68.97%.
Other names are much farther back, starting with former Amb. Nikki Haley (3.33%), South Carolina U.S. Sen. Tim Scott (2.5%). and former Vice President Mike Pence (2.27%).
Talk show host Tucker Carlson, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, author Vivek Ramaswamy, and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin are all above 1%,
Other Florida options include Sen. Marco Rubio at 0.34%, and Sen. Rick Scott at 0.1%.
Other Trump options include Ivanka at 0.2%, and Eric and Donald Jr., each at 0.1%.
Still not on the board: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, in a sign his campaign is not taken seriously by these investors.
DeSantis led Trump as recently as January 18, 40.32% to 34.72%. By April, however, Trump doubled up DeSantis in this market, and the former President’s momentum continues unabated.
The Race to the White House polling average continues to show a lopsided race, with Trump at 53% and DeSantis at 21%. Pence is at 6%, Ramaswamy is at 4%, and Haley is at 3% in that metric.
The Delegate forecast is likewise tough for the Governor. He is forecast to have just 349 if the field never consolidates, and 530 if it does after Nevada. Both numbers are far short of the necessary 1,234 to win the nomination uncontested.
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