It’s never too early to invest in the next presidential election.
And if you want to bet on a longshot, the Kalshi prediction market says there’s one currently in the Governor’s Mansion.
A Yes share for Ron DeSantis is priced to move, at 4 cents as of Saturday morning, down from 5 cents more recently.
To put that in perspective, he’s seen by investors as less likely to be the nominee for the Republican Party than Donald Trump Jr. (5 cents), Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin (6 cents), Secretary of State Marco Rubio (8 cents), Tulsi Gabbard and President Donald Trump (9 cents), and Vice President JD Vance (42 cents).
DeSantis does perform better than two other Florida men: talk show host Matt Gaetz and Rep. Byron Donalds. Each are at 1 cent for a yes share.
But the big story for DeSantis watchers looks to be Rubio, the ultimate utility player for the current White House, again besting him in a compare-and-contrast scenario involving candidates who could emerge.
A recent Atlas Intel poll also saw Rubio with double the support of DeSantis.
While other polls show DeSantis tied with or ahead of Rubio, what’s clear is that the aftermath of the 2024 campaign seems to leave the vast majority of Republicans seeing DeSantis as an also-ran.
The Governor’s Restore Our Nation PAC raised eyebrows this week with praising Elon Musk for having “stood tall and took the hits” to push DOGE reforms when serving with Trump. This scheduled messaging came before the explosive break between the Tesla impresario and the President this week, but suggests his political operation isn’t reading the room very well.
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